The Super Eagles of Nigeria are perched precariously on the edge of World Cup elimination—yet again.
With just two matches remaining in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, Africa's perennial underachievers find themselves in a familiar position: struggling against supposedly inferior opponents and staring at the grim possibility of missing out on global football's grandest stage.
The question on every Nigerian football fan's mind is whether this generation of players can finally break what many perceive as a curse that has haunted the national team.
💔A History of Near Misses and Painful Absences ⚽
The Super Eagles have qualified for the global showpiece six times since making their debut at the 1994 FIFA World Cup in the USA, led by the likes of Jay-Jay Okocha, Rashidi Yekini, and Finidi George.
The Super Eagles topped a group containing Argentina before narrowly losing to Italy in the round of 16. This promising debut created expectations that have since gone largely unfulfilled.
Despite being considered one of Africa's football powerhouses with three Africa Cup of Nations titles to their name, the Super Eagles have consistently struggled to translate continental success into consistent World Cup qualification.
1986 and 1990: Before their debut, the Super Eagles missed out on back-to-back qualifications, often falling short against North African heavyweights.
2006: After a run of three consecutive World Cups, Nigeria’s failure to qualify for Germany was a national shock. Needing only a draw against Angola in their final match, Nigeria instead suffered a 1-0 defeat that eliminated them from contention.
2022: The most painful in recent memory. After battling through the qualifiers, Nigeria faced Ghana in the playoff round. A 1-1 draw in Abuja meant Ghana advanced on away goals after a stunning long-range strike from Thomas Partey proved decisive, sparking heartbreak and chaos at the Moshood Abiola Stadium.
Each missed opportunity has reinforced a nagging narrative: Nigeria possesses immense talent but often stumbles when consistency and composure are most needed.
📉The Current Picture — Nigeria’s 2026 Qualification Journey 📊
Nigeria's current qualification campaign for the 2026 World Cup has been nothing short of disappointing. Placed in Group C alongside South Africa, Benin, Zimbabwe, Rwanda, and Lesotho, the Super Eagles were overwhelming favourites to top the group.
Instead, with two matches remaining, they find themselves in third position with 11 points from 8 matches—a whopping six points behind group leaders South Africa.
The statistics make for grim reading: just two wins, five draws, and one loss against some of African football's so-called "minnows." The campaign has been characterised by baffling results, including home draws against Lesotho and Zimbabwe, and an away defeat to Benin despite taking the lead.
The most recent blow came in September 2025, when Nigeria could only manage a 1-1 draw against South Africa in Bloemfontein. The result left South Africa firmly in control of the group with 17 points, while Nigeria's chances of direct qualification hang by the thinnest of threads.
❓What the Super Eagles Must Do — The Road Ahead 🛣️
The qualification format for Africa is straightforward but unforgiving. Only the nine group winners qualify automatically for the 2026 World Cup.
The four best second-placed teams across the groups will contest continental play-offs, with one advancing to the intercontinental playoff.
For Nigeria, this means two possible paths:
🔝Top the Group:
To achieve this, Nigeria must win both of their remaining matches. This would take them to 17 points, but they also need South Africa to falter in their last two games. Goal difference could become decisive, so scoring heavily will matter.
🥈Best Runner-Up Route:
If South Africa holds their ground, Nigeria must fight for second place. Even then, it won’t be enough unless their tally is among the best four second-placed teams across all nine groups.
Again, victories in both matches are non-negotiable, with goal difference and head-to-head records likely playing a crucial role.
In short: win twice, hope South Africa drops points, and keep the calculators ready.
🔚Conclusion — Hope and Urgency ✨
As Nigeria approaches its final two qualifiers against Lesotho and Benin, the atmosphere is fraught with tension. Mathematical possibilities remain, but the required combination of results seems increasingly improbable.
Even if the Super Eagles somehow secure a playoff spot, they would face the daunting prospect of competing against other disappointed group runners-up for a single inter-confessional ticket to the World Cup.
The 2026 campaign represents a crucial crossroads for Nigerian football. Another failure to qualify would mean missing two consecutive World Cups—a devastating setback for a nation with such a rich footballing tradition and talent.
The curse of unrealised potential continues to haunt the Super Eagles, who, on paper, possess one of Africa's most talented squads featuring players from Europe's top leagues.
Can Nigeria break their World Cup curse?
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