Napoli host Cagliari at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Friday night in what could be a historic Serie A title decider for the Partenopei. Napoli’s fate is in their own hands. A win secures the title — anything less could force a playoff if Inter draws at Como.
Two years after lifting their third Scudetto, Napoli are one win away from sealing their fourth, edging out Inter Milan in a nail-biting title race in which they get to decide how it ends for themselves.
🔵Napoli Aim to Seal the Deal at Home | Home Win = 1.19💵
Napoli have taken 14 points from their last six games, with four wins and two draws, and they’ve kept four clean sheets in that time. Despite an underwhelming 0-0 draw at Parma, Antonio Conte’s men remain in control of their destiny.
This could be Conte’s third Serie A crown with a different club, adding to his illustrious CV alongside Juventus and Inter. Regardless of his future at Napoli, winning the Scudetto would cap a dramatic one-season turnaround after last year’s 10th-place finish.
Despite scoring just 57 goals, Napoli’s resilience and Lukaku’s key contributions at home have pushed them to the brink. A title here would break their tie with Roma and crown them the most successful southern club in Italian history.
🔴️Cagliari Play Spoilers with Survival Secured | Away Win = 17.09💵
Davide Nicola’s Cagliari ensured top-flight safety with a 3-0 win over Venezia last week. Roberto Piccoli netted his 10th of the season in between goals from Mina and Deiola in what was a spectacular home win for the Isolanis.
Cagliari matched last season’s 36-point tally and could finish 14th, a solid return for a team tipped to struggle. But their poor away form — just three wins on the road — casts doubt on their upset chances in Naples.
Still, recent Napoli stumbles against bottom-half sides, including Parma, Genoa, and Venezia, will give Cagliari hope they can add another twist to the title race.
🗝️Key Players & Team News📰:
Romelu Lukaku is the man to watch for Napoli, having directly contributed to nine home goals in 2025 — the most in Serie A. He’s expected to start alongside Raspadori, with Neres likely to be used as an impact sub.
Midfield could be a concern if Lobotka is not fit enough to start. If so, Billy Gilmour would partner McTominay, who has seven goal involvements at home this year. Juan returns, but Olivera could keep his place in defence.
Cagliari will be without Luvumbo and Gaetano, while Elia Caprile will face his parent club in goal. Pavoletti and Piccoli should spearhead the Rossoblu attack, with Viola providing support if needed.
🔢Match Stats & Betting Odds | Draw = 7.91💵
⚽ Napoli have won nine of their last 12 home games vs Cagliari, averaging 2.5 goals per match. | Specials Market: (1x2 & O/U 2.5) Home & Over 2.5 = 1.55
⚽ Cagliari have drawn three (3) of their last 6 games against Napoli, with 2021 being the last time such draws came away at Napoli. Interestingly, all 3 draws had a 1-1 score line. | Goals Market: (Away O/U) Away Over 0.5 = 2.12
⚽ Lukaku has scored or assisted in every home game since February and is Serie A’s top home performer in 2025. | Player Market: (Anytime goalscorer) Lukaku, Romelu = 1.78
A raucous Stadio Maradona awaits as Napoli chase history. Will Conte’s side finish the job, or will Cagliari crash the party on a night of destiny in Naples?
🔗You can check out the Serie A finale game, Napoli vs Cagliari, here on MSport.
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