The title is settled. Barcelona wrapped it up on April 10 with a 2-0 win over Real Madrid at the Camp Nou, and the league trophy presentation has already been mentally rehearsed by Hansi Flick. That story is over.
But Saturday night across Spain is going to be absolute chaos anyway, because everything else in this league is still being decided in 90 minutes. Europe. Conference League playoffs. Survival. Manager farewells. Robert Lewandowski's potentially last Barcelona match. Vinicius heading off to join Brazil for the World Cup. Five clubs still fighting for their lives at the bottom of the table.
All ten games kick off at exactly the same time. This is what we think happens.
1️⃣ Girona vs Elche — The Relegation Match Nobody Wanted
Girona are 18th, Elche are 17th, two points and one place apart, and both teams need to win because La Liga tiebreakers apparently require a calculator and a law degree. Elche's coach is suspended for insulting a referee against Betis, which feels appropriate. Girona have not won in seven. Elche have one away win all season.
Expect a tense, anxious football match where neither side wants to commit forward in case they get caught on the break. The kind of game where the first goal feels like a punch in the gut and everyone watches the clock from minute 30 onwards.
🎯 Prediction: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.17 on MSport
2️⃣ Mallorca vs Oviedo — Muriqi's Mission Impossible
Mallorca have the second-highest scorer in La Liga in their squad. Vedat Muriqi. Twenty-two goals. And they are 19th. That is one of those statistics that suggests a team has been spectacularly bad at the small, boring parts of the game like defending corners and not losing to Levante.
Now they need to beat an already-relegated Oviedo side at home and pray for results elsewhere. Oviedo have the lowest goals scored in the entire division and have not scored in four straight matches. Muriqi has scored seven goals in his last six games and the man is on a mission.
🎯 Prediction: Vedat Muriqi to score anytime @ 1.79 on MSport
3️⃣ Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao — Arbeloa's Farewell, Mourinho's Shadow
Alvaro Arbeloa's farewell tour. Jose Mourinho is being announced as the new manager next week. Read that sentence again. Mourinho. Back at the Bernabeu. The Special One returning to the place where everything once made sense. Vinicius is already off to join Brazil for World Cup duty.
Athletic finished fourth last season and are now 12th, drifting into a summer of regret. Mbappe will lead the Madrid attack at home in a game that has zero on the line for Real Madrid except finishing the season without further embarrassment. Expect a Bernabeu performance that swings between brilliant and bored within the same five minutes.
🎯 Prediction: Kylian Mbappe to score @ 1.62 on MSport
4️⃣ Valencia vs Barcelona — Lewandowski's Potential Last Dance
Robert Lewandowski's potential final Barcelona game. The man has scored nine goals in six career meetings against Valencia. Yamal is out injured, Fermin Lopez is out injured, and Hansi Flick is rotating heavily because Barcelona have won all 19 of their home league games this season but lost to Alaves on the road last week.
Valencia need three points to chase a Conference League spot and they have won three of their last five. Mestalla will be loud. Barcelona will be relaxed. Both teams have scored in 27 of the last 30 meetings between these sides and Barcelona average 3.7 goals per game against Valencia in recent years.
🎯 Prediction: Both teams to score @ 1.47 on MSport
5️⃣ Real Betis vs Levante — Victory Lap Meets Survival Fight
Betis are already done. Fifth place secured. Champions League football confirmed for the first time since 2005-06. Pellegrini has done extraordinary work and Saturday at La Cartuja is essentially a victory lap. Levante, meanwhile, need a point to officially confirm survival. Just a point.
They have won six of their last nine and look like a team that has figured out exactly what their identity is at exactly the right time. Carlos Espi has ten goals. Betis will be relaxed, possibly experimental, and Levante will play for the draw they need. This is exactly the kind of dead-rubber-meets-relegation-fight that produces ridiculous final scores.
🎯 Prediction: Over 9.5 corners @ 1.85 on MSport
6️⃣ Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano — One Eye on Leipzig
Quique Sanchez Flores took over Alaves in March and has somehow turned them into the team that just beat Barcelona last week. They are safe with a game to spare. Rayo Vallecano, meanwhile, are in their first ever Conference League final on Wednesday against Crystal Palace, and they are also chasing a European league finish on Saturday.
One eye on Leipzig, one eye on Mendizorroza. Toni Martinez has scored eight goals in his last nine games for Alaves. Rayo will rotate. The home side will not. There is a genuine momentum mismatch here that the betting markets have not quite caught up with.
🎯 Prediction: Alaves to win @ 2.40 on MSport
7️⃣ Getafe vs Osasuna — Bordalas Grinds for Europe
Getafe are seventh and currently holding the Conference League playoff spot. They simply have to win to guarantee Europe, because Rayo are right behind them and ready to pounce. Osasuna are 11th and have nothing real to play for beyond finishing the season with some pride.
Getafe under Bordalas are the most defensive, organised, occasionally ugly team in La Liga. They will set up to grind out the result they need rather than play with any kind of flair. Expect cards, set pieces, fouls, and a deeply uncomfortable football match for any neutral.
🎯 Prediction: Over 4.5 cards @ 1.75 on MSport
8️⃣ Celta Vigo vs Sevilla — Europa League Night at the Balaidos
Celta need a win to seal the Europa League spot they have been chasing all season. Three points clear of Getafe, plus 11 better on goal difference, which means even a draw probably gets them home. Sevilla are safe, have nothing left to play for, and have conceded 59 goals across the season.
Sevilla cannot stop conceding. Celta have actually been better away from home than at home this season, but the Balaidos crowd on a European-qualifying night should fix that quickly. Iglesias and Swedberg will lead the Celta attack against a Sevilla defence that has resembled a screen door for several months.
🎯 Prediction: Celta Vigo to win and over 2.5 goals @ 2.50 on MSport
9️⃣ Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid — The Polite Dead Rubber
Both clubs are done. Villarreal have already secured their Champions League spot. Atletico are third and locked in. This is the dead rubber of the matchday and both managers will treat it accordingly. Simeone will likely rest senior players ahead of summer transfer business. Marcelino will give fringe players minutes they haven't seen much.
Julian Alvarez might play, might not. Griezmann definitely gets the farewell minutes the crowd will demand. Expect a polite, mid-paced afternoon where nothing really happens until somebody scores a freak goal in the 87th minute.
🎯 Prediction: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.29 on MSport
🔟 Espanyol vs Real Sociedad — Flat Finish to a Disappointing Season
Espanyol are 16th, mathematically safe, but have lost their last three. Real Sociedad are 10th, drifting through the back end of a deeply disappointing season. Both managers will be experimenting. Both crowds will be hoping for one last bit of entertainment before the summer break.
Real Sociedad have actually been better on the road than at home this season but their motivation at this point is genuinely impossible to gauge. Mikel Oyarzabal will be the man Espanyol need to stop if they want anything from this game.
🎯 Prediction: Real Sociedad double chance (draw or win) @ 1.55 on MSport
Final Day Summary — Pour a Drink. Have Ten Tabs Open.
Saturday night is going to be loud. Five teams fighting to stay alive, three teams chasing European spots, Barcelona doing a lap of honour with Lewandowski potentially getting his goodbye, and Real Madrid putting Arbeloa on the touchline one last time before Mourinho's return becomes official.
Some games will mean nothing. Some will mean everything. And every single one kicks off at exactly the same moment.
Pretend you have control over the chaos. That is La Liga final day.
