Two teams. Zero points. One survival match at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. For both the Czech Republic and South Africa, defeat would leave their World Cup hopes hanging by a thread.
This is what matchday two looks like when matchday one goes badly. South Africa opened the tournament against Mexico at the Azteca, and it could hardly have gone worse. They finished the match with nine men after Sphephelo Sithole and Themba Zwane were both sent off.
The Czech Republic also started with a defeat, losing 2-1 to South Korea after taking the lead through Ladislav Krejci. After 20 years away from the World Cup, they led for around 20 minutes before the game slipped away.
So here we are in Atlanta. Neither team can afford another defeat, and a draw may not be enough for either side. Three points would keep qualification hopes alive, especially in the race for the best third-placed spots, but a loss would leave very little room for recovery.
Czech Republic vs South Africa: Key Stats
Only previous meeting: 2-2 draw at the 1997 Confederations Cup
Both teams lost their opening Group A match
Czech Republic lost 2-1 to South Korea after leading through Krejci
South Africa lost 2-0 to Mexico with two players sent off
Czech Republic: First World Cup since 2006, ended a 20-year absence
Czech Republic: Failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 outings
South Africa: Sithole and Zwane both suspended after their red cards
South Africa: Winless in their last 6 matches, conceding multiple goals in each defeat
South Africa: Beat France 2-1 at the 2010 World Cup, their last World Cup win over European opposition
Krejci: Contributed to 4 goals across his last 5 international appearances
What to Expect
The Czech Republic will lean on their set-piece threat and their greater technical quality. Ladislav Krejci, the Wolves defender, has been a genuine weapon from dead-ball situations and contributed to four goals in his last five internationals. Vladimir Coufal's long throws give them another route to goal. Patrik Schick leads the line and is the kind of proven finisher who punishes the defensive lapses South Africa showed against Mexico. The concern for Koubek is that defensive record. Five games without a clean sheet, two soft goals conceded against South Korea. If South Africa can create chances, the Czech back line is not watertight. But Schick's quality up front gives them the edge in a game that will likely be decided by one or two moments.
South Africa have to reshuffle after the suspensions and Broos is reportedly considering moving from a back five to a 4-2-3-1 to get more bodies forward. Lyle Foster leads the line alone and carries the bulk of South Africa's attacking hopes. Oswin Appollis provides the creativity from wide. The problem is South Africa did not create a single clear-cut chance against Mexico even before the red cards, and they have now gone six games without a win. Broos needs his team to show far more attacking intent than they managed at the Azteca, but they also cannot leave themselves exposed to Schick and the Czech set pieces. It is a difficult balance for a team low on confidence and missing two players.
Predicted Lineups
Czech Republic (3-4-2-1) 🇨🇿
Kovar; Hranac, Chaloupek, Krejci; Coufal, Soucek, Sojka, Zeleny; Sulc, Provod; Schick
South Africa (4-2-3-1) 🇿🇦
Williams; Mudau, Mbokazi, Okon, Modiba; Adams, Mbatha; Appollis, Mokoena, Moremi; Foster
Players to Watch
Patrik Schick - The Czech Republic's most clinical finisher and the player most likely to settle a tight game. He gets into the right positions, he finishes with both feet, and against a South Africa defence that has looked shaky and is missing personnel, Schick has the quality to produce the one moment this match might turn on.
Ladislav Krejci - Scored against South Korea and has been involved in four goals in his last five international appearances. He is a genuine aerial threat in both boxes and on a day where set pieces could decide everything, the Wolves defender is the Czech player South Africa must track most carefully at corners and long throws.
Lyle Foster - Carries South Africa's attack almost single-handedly. The Burnley striker has been their focal point throughout this difficult run and with the team needing goals to survive, Foster's movement and willingness to shoot early is their best hope. If South Africa are going to win this, it runs through him taking a half chance.
Oswin Appollis - South Africa's most creative outlet and the man Broos needs to supply Foster with service. The Orlando Pirates winger contributed to six goals in qualifying and his ability to beat his man and deliver into the box is South Africa's main route to creating the chances they so badly lacked against Mexico.
Prediction
Prediction: Czech Republic to win, under 2.5 goals @ 2.30
This is a nervy, tense, survival match and those rarely produce free-flowing football. Both teams are desperate, both are low on confidence, and the fear of a tournament-ending defeat will weigh on every decision. The Czech Republic carry the greater technical quality, a proven finisher in Schick, and a set-piece threat in Krejci that a depleted, suspension-hit South Africa defence will struggle to handle. South Africa will press forward because they have to, but their lack of cutting edge against Mexico is a real concern. The Czechs edge a low-scoring, tight contest through one moment of quality, and South Africa stare down the barrel of a fourth consecutive group-stage exit.
