The international break is over, and the EPL is back. Saturday lunchtime brings us a Turf Moor clash between a struggling Burnley side and a confident Chelsea team chasing a third straight league win. Burnley entered the break on a low note after 2 straight defeats. Chelsea arrive in Lancashire with momentum, sitting 3rd in the table and looking sharper every week under Enzo Maresca.
Chelsea had a comfortable 3-0 win over Wolves before the break. Joao Pedro, Malo Gusto and former Wolves star Pedro Neto got the goals. That victory followed their composed win over Tottenham in gameweek 10. It has pushed the Blues to 20 points, with only Arsenal and Manchester City above them in the standings.Another good omen for Chelsea is their record in Saturday 12.30 kickoffs. They have won their last 7 Premier League matches at this time. They have also won their last two away league games without conceding. They have not kept three straight away clean sheets since 2021. Burnley’s situation is the opposite. Once known for strong defensive play, they now hold the 3rd worst defensive record in the league. They have conceded 22 goals, and 7 of those came in their last 3 matches. In that run they edged Wolves, were swept aside by Arsenal, and then fell 3-2 to West Ham.
The Clarets sit 17th and are only above the relegation zone on goal difference. They have kept just 2 clean sheets in their last 31 league matches. For football lovers, this is going to be a mouthwatering match!
Burnley vs Chelsea: Key Stats
📊 Head-to-head: Burnley 1 win, Chelsea 12 wins, Draws 6
📊 Chelsea unbeaten in last 11 Premier League games vs Burnley
📊 Chelsea unbeaten in 18 of last 19 meetings in all competitions
📊 Chelsea have scored 2 or more goals in their last 6 away games vs Burnley
📊 Burnley: conceding 2.00 goals per match this season
📊 Chelsea: 6 straight away wins vs Burnley in the Premier League
Predicted Lineups
Burnley (4-2-3-1) Dubravka; Walker, Tuanzebe, Esteve, Hartman; Florentino, Cullen; Bruun Larsen, Ugochukwu, Anthony; Flemming
Chelsea (4-2-3-1) Sanchez; Gusto, Chalobah, Fofana, Cucurella; James, Caicedo; Estevao, Pedro, Garnacho; Delap
Players and Matchups to Watch
🔹 Zian Flemming – Burnley’s best threat, with three goals in his last four league starts
🔹 Joao Pedro – Growing influence in Maresca’s system
Odds Market on MSport
💵 Draw: 4.66
💵 Burnley to win: 6.68
💵 Over 2.5 goals: 1.79
💵 Estevao Anytime: 3.25
💵 Flemming Anytime: 4.30
Chelsea arrives stronger, sharper, and with a better squad. Burnley will fight, but the defensive issues and injury list make this a tough assignment. If Chelsea plays with patience and keeps control, they should leave Turf Moor with another 3 points.
